Nashville will square off with Miami in MLS action at GEODIS Park on Saturday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers’ proven MLS model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Nashville as the most likely winner of the game.
“Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Nashville-Miami game,” said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
“By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction gives Nashville a 48.5% chance of winning, Miami a 27.5% chance, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.”
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Head-To-Head and Key Numbers
With four wins from the last ten meetings between the sides, Nashville boasts a slightly superior record in the history of this fixture.
Inter Miami have picked up one fewer win in that time, while the spoils have been shared on three occasions.
Nashville have failed to win their last three games against Inter Miami, losing twice and claiming one draw since a 2-1 victory in May 2023.
Inter Miami are without a win in their last five competitive away matches, losing three and picking up two draws since a 3-1 victory at Los Angeles FC in September.
Nashville are unbeaten in their last six games across all competitions, claiming three wins and three draws since February’s 2-1 pre-season defeat against Toronto FC.
Team News
Inter Miami
Messi scored twice, while Luis Suarez had two goals and two assists during Inter Miami’s 5-0 victory over Orlando City last Saturday. Inter Miami is 2-1-0 (win-draw-loss) through three games of the 2024 MLS season.
Inter Miami is pursing the Champions Cup, will defend its Leagues Cup title, and hopes to compete for the MLS Cup by season’s end. Messi is also expected to join Argentina in this summer’s Copa America 2024, while his participation in the Paris Olympics is unlikely but still up in the air.
“I think that with the pressure on us, we’re conscious of the team, and what we’ve built and we are going to prepare ourselves to fight for the MLS title,” Messi said during a postgame interview with Apple TV last Saturday.
Nashville SC
Nashville has only one goal and played to draws in their first two MLS games this season, but advanced past Dominican team Moda FC 7-0 on aggregate to reach the Champions Cup Round of 16.
Nashville has been without standouts Hany Mukhtar (hamstring) and Sam Surridge (left shoulder), Randall Leal (hamstring) to start the season. They finished in scoreless draw against the New York Red Bulls on Feb. 25, and finished 1-1 against the Colorado Rapids last Saturday.
Nashville was eliminated by Orlando in the first round of the MLS playoffs last November.
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Prediction
Inter Miami have flown out of the blocks this season and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. We predict the Herons will pick up where they left off against Orlando City and come away with all three points once again.
Prediction: Nashville SC 1-3 Inter Miami